Posted by
Randy on Tuesday, January 06, 2009 6:19:08 PM
Whatever one’s view of President George W. Bush, no one can say that the last eight years have been inconsequential. These were challenging years: perhaps no other President, save Abraham Lincoln and Franklin Roosevelt, has experienced a more challenging time at the helm of the ship of state.
During these past eight years, there have been four major crises, any of which could have made up that one sentence description one thinks of when describing a particular Presidency (e.g. Lincoln-The Civil War; FDR-The Great Depression, WWII; Reagan-The Cold War, reviving the economy, Carter-The Camp David Agreement, The Iran Hostage Crisis). The four major crises during President Bush’s were: 9-11, the Iraq War, Hurricane Katrina, and the Sub-Prime Mortgage Meltdown. Any evaluation of the Bush Presidency at a bare minimum must deal with these four issues.
More than any other event, the Bush Presidency will be remembered for 9-11. It was so sudden and unexpected and has rightly been compared to Pearl Harbor or the Kennedy assassination, both in terms of its shocking nature and because of how completely it changed the nation’s course. Despite some uncertainty in the early hours following the attacks (when the fog of war is often thickest), President Bush proved himself a strong leader in a time of crisis.
Few will likely forget the words and images of the time: President Bush from the Oval Office that night, “Today our nation saw evil, the very worst of human nature, and we responded with the best of America.” From Ground Zero, President Bush speaking through a bullhorn. A fireman calls out, “We can’t hear you.” Bush responds, “I can hear you; the rest of the world hears you; the people who knocked these buildings will hear all of us soon!” Firemen begin chanting “USA, USA, USA…!!!” Addressing Congress, “Whether we bring our enemies to justice, or bring justice to our enemies, justice will be done.”
In that address to Congress, President Bush named Osama Bin Laden and Al Qaeda as the likely perpetrators of 9-11 and called on Afghanistan’s Taliban government, who was harboring the key leaders from the terrorist group, to turn them over or face the consequences. When the Taliban refused, the United States deployed air power and Special Forces Units to the area in October. Siding with the Northern Alliance (a name that sounds right out of Star Wars), the United States brought down the Taliban government and put Al Qaeda on the run. These years later Osama has not been killed or captured, but many who worked for him have including the mastermind of 9-11, Khalid Shaikh Mohammed; further the United States has not been attacked again, a scenario few would have thought likely on 9-11 as we saw the Twin Towers and the Pentagon burning on our television screens. On the whole, not bad. President Bush enjoyed the wide support of the public (in fact his job approval ratings were in the 90's, making him the highest rated President since such statistics were kept) and the nation itself was on the mend.
Next came Iraq. President Bush believed and argued that the United States needed to not only deal with terrorist threats, but also to promote liberty in the region. Liberty, based on solid principles, was the surest antidote to the hopelessness and ignorance that breeds terrorism. His strategy came to be known as the Freedom Agenda. Bush also argued in the Age of Terror, threats could not be allowed to reach full bloom: the stakes were too high. Saddam Hussein was reconstituting his military and was paying terrorist bombers to attack Israel. Further, he had thrown the U.N weapons inspectors out of Iraq and fired on U.S. and other allied planes seeking to enforce the “No-fly” zone. In almost every way, Saddam was not complying with the U.N. resolutions ending the First Gulf War. Bush pointed out to do nothing in the face of his defiance only invited the contempt of our enemies and allowed Saddam more time to acquire weapons of mass destruction. Most in the Congress believed President Bush’s assessment was correct. The Senate voted 77 to 23 for the Iraq War Resolution and the House voted 297-133. Among those who voted for the Resolution were Senators Harry Reid and Hillary Clinton.
What happened thereafter is well known. The war was quickly won (that is toppling Saddam’s regime), it was securing the peace that became the hard part. Some elements within and outside of Iraq did not want to see the new democracy succeed and violence escalated to the point where it appeared our efforts might have been in vain. In the midst of the terror, the Iraqi people showed where they stood by braving intimidation by Al Qaeda and other groups to the point of risking their own lives to vote in large numbers, proudly showing off their purple-stained fingers.
By 2006 as American and Iraqi casualties mounted, President Bush’s popularity and support for the Iraq War plummeted to new lows, leading ultimately to the Democrats taking back control of Congress. Then Bush responded by making one of the boldest moves of his Presidency ordering a Surge of 10's of thousands more troops into Iraq, instead of drawing them down (as most all the Democrats demanded), and he instituted a new strategy to quell the violence and build loyalty to the Iraqi government. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Senator Obama, and Speaker Pelosi pronounced that the plan would not work with Reid going so far as saying that “The war in Iraq is lost.” Well, the plan did work and bore great fruit within months of its implementation beginning in the spring of 2007. Violence remains down drastically--80% or more throughout most of the country (U.S. troops deaths down from high of 126, May '07 to 14, Dec. '08, for the year--314 in '08--the lowest since any year since the war began--versus the highest last year of 904), and the young democracy appears to be getting its footing. The jury is still out, but the mission of the Iraq War of both removing Saddam and promoting democracy in the heart of the Middle East looks likely to succeed. Recently, the United States returned the Green Zone to Iraqi control, which is among the last portions of the country for which the United States military was still directly responsible. President-elect Obama must agree with President Bush's military strategy of the last couple of years because, in an unprecedented move, Obama chose to keep Bush's Secretary of Defense and much of the current President's team.
As if conducting two overseas wars as part of an overall global war on terror was not enough, in the late summer of 2005 the United States experienced the largest natural disaster in its history with the landfall of Hurricane Katrina. At a total cost of nearly $90 billion, Katrina dwarfed the next most costly storm, Andrew, by over half. It required the evacuation of the entire city of New Orleans with its population of over 1 million people. Further, more than 1800 people died as a result of the storm, versus the 65 that died during Andrew. Somehow President Bush received the bulk of the negative press regarding how the government responded to the crisis.
Traditionally, the state and local government are the first responders following such natural disasters, with the federal government available as a back up. While the federal government fulfilled its normal role as backup in Mississippi and parts of Louisiana during and after Katrina, in New Orleans the scope of the disaster was so immense, with the flooding of almost the entire city, and there was also almost a complete break down in state and local government, forcing the federal government to stand in the gap as best it could on short notice. Throughout the entire region and especially in New Orleans, the U.S. Coast Guard performed the largest number of rescues in its 100 year history: over 33,000 throughout the region involving approximately 5000 Coast Guard personnel in the effort. Meanwhile, the United State Army--the first elements of Task Force Katrina under General Russel Honore--rolled in New Orleans the Wednesday, following the breaching of the city’s levees that Monday and restored order. Task Force Katrina became 71,000 strong consisting of members from all the branches of service. It was the largest military response to a natural disaster in the history of the country.
Despite all the federal government had done in jumping into this unexpected role of being the primary first-responders in New Orleans and literally saving the day, Democratic leaders in Congress, then House Minority Leader Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Reid, saw political hay to be made by thrashing President Bush and the federal government’s efforts. Pelosi called President Bush, “Oblivious, in denial, dangerous”: this observation came only days after the federal government had restored order to New Orleans and helped in the evacuation of all its citizens. Not surprisingly little if any mention was made of the colossal failures of the Democratic Governor Kathleen Blanco of Louisiana (who did not have the temerity to stand for re-election after Katrina-Republican Bobby Jindal won the job last year) and the Democratic Mayor Ray Nagin of New Orleans. President Bush, as a leader actually having to deal with the situation on the ground, chose not to return fire by pointing out where the state and local governments had failed, but to work with Governor Blanco and Mayor Nagin to help those affected by the storm. Nagin in turn said, “Now, I will tell you this, and I give the president some credit on this — he sent one John Wayne dude down here that can get some stuff done, and his name is Gen. Honore."
Was President Bush really "Oblivious, in denial, dangerous" as Pelosi charged as he was deploying the largest federal response to a natural disaster in U.S. history? Some could argue he was slow at the switch; however, the entire situation regarding the Katrina governmental response can be likened to that of how a family functions. Those closest to and primarily responsible for meeting the needs of the family are the parents: analogous to the state and local governments. If for some reason the parents become incapacitated or unavailable, the grandparents or aunts and uncles can and should step in, but depending on how quickly the need develops, the transition may not always be smooth. While all may have wished the Army could have rolled into New Orleans the day after the city flooded and spared the people suffering without water at the Super Dome (query why the Mayor directed people there without at least a day’s worth of water), the truth is the Army was not on site (but assembling in Mississippi) and took on a new mission pretty well, given such short notice. While a lot of the PR surrounding Katrina was bad for President Bush, in reality the federal government performed admirably in very difficult circumstances.
Finally, in the closing months of his time in office, President Bush has been given one last (hopefully) major crisis in which to respond: the financial meltdown and recession of the last several months. Approximately two million jobs were lost in 2008 with unemployment jumping from under 5 to over 7%, while the stock market experienced its largest percentage drop since the heart of the Great Depression in 1931: 34%-4000 points. Again, there are some who would blame President Bush as the primary cause for the nation's current economic woes. Barack Obama, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi all said that it was the Bush Administration’s hands off approach when it came to dealing with the business community that led us to this point. The left-leaning New York Times fleshed out this argument in a lengthy article.
The Times article did give the requisite disclaimer near the beginning of the piece that, “There are plenty of culprits, like lenders who peddled easy credit, consumers who took on mortgages they could not afford and Wall Street chieftains who loaded up on mortgage backed securities without regard to risk.”
“BUT…”[emphasis added], the article continues (and the bulk of the article follows), “…the story of how we got here is partly one of Mr. Bush’s own making…”
The Times goes on to explain that President Bush placed a high premium on home ownership, and though he tried to reign in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac--the government sponsored mortgage brokerage houses--he did not do enough.
Conspicuously missing from this article, is a discussion of the far greater role congressional Democrats including
Senator Chris Dodd, Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee and
Representative Barney Frank, Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee played in resisting President Bush’s attempts to address the gathering crisis. During Bush’s first year in office (and in the years since), the President sought greater oversight of these institutions. Frank, who has been one of the most out-spoken critics of the Bush Administration regarding the current financial crisis, said in 2003, “The more people, in my judgment, exaggerate a threat of safety and soundness, the more people conjure up the possibility of serious losses to the Treasury, which I do not see.
I think we see entities that are fundamentally sound financially and able to withstand some of the disaster scenarios.”
Dodd expressed similar trust in the great work being done by Fannie and Freddie to get people into home ownership.
In light of our current crisis, was President Bush correct in calling for greater oversight and regulation of Fannie and Freddie and the sub-prime market or Frank and Dodd in resisting the move?
Also almost non-existent in the Times article was mention that the big push for low-income minority housing actually began in earnest under President Clinton in the late 90’s. The same paper reported in the 1990's that the Clinton Administration was pressuring Fannie to expand mortgage loans to “people with less than stellar credit.” Further that Administration threatened banks with stiff fines of up to $500,000 per violation for failing to meet quotas to lend to these groups. Banks in turn dumped these risky loans on Fannie and Freddie and the makings of our current meltdown were all in place.
As was the case in Katrina, the Bush Administration was forced to respond to a crisis mostly not of its making, yet receiving the lion’s share of the blame from Democrats and many in the media. The Administration acted vigorously to prevent the failure of major banking institutions and thus a complete collapse of the financial sector upon which all else depends. These institutions appear to have stabilized following an unprecedented bailout running over $1 trillion. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a good indicator of future economic conditions, appears to have stabilized as well. The trend in recent trading has been mostly flat or up: the free fall appears to be over and the major part of the crisis past.
Of course history will be the final judge of the Bush Presidency, but as it draws to a close, when measured against the enormity of the crises with which it had to contend, it fairs pretty well. The achievement that ranks above all others is that the United States has not been attacked again on its own soil since 9-11. Iraq appears on its way to being a stable democracy. New Orleans is rebuilding and its levees survived another major hurricane passing through the area this fall. The state and local governments played their role in helping respond effectively to the threat. As far as the economy, President Obama will inherit a recession, as President Bush did, but economies have cycles, and if Obama follows Bush’s examples of cutting taxes and allowing the American people to do what they do best, free from the heavy hand of government, with greater fiscal constraint, all should turn out right. The ship of state has been through a battering eight years, but with President Bush at the helm, we’ve made it through, and in far better fashion than current popular sentiment would have us believe.
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Randy DeSoto is the author of the book We Hold These Truths, which addresses how leaders have appealed to the beliefs in God's Providence and inalienable rights throughout our nation's history.